Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
https://hdl.handle.net/10646/4027
Title: | Assessing the role of climate change in Malaria transmission in Africa. |
Authors: | Ngarakana-Gwasira, Ethel T. Bhunu, Claver P. Masocha, Mhosisi Mashonjowa, Emmanuel |
Keywords: | vector borne diseases malaria climate change Africa falciparum malaria Geographical Information Systems |
Issue Date: | 23-Feb-2016 |
Publisher: | HINDAWI |
Citation: | Ngarakana-Gwasira, E. T., Bhunu, C. P., Masocha, M., & Mashonjowa, E. (2016). Assessing the role of climate change in malaria transmission in Africa. Malaria research and treatment, 2016. |
Abstract: | The sensitivity of vector borne diseases like malaria to climate continues to raise considerable concern over the implications of climate change on future disease dynamics. The problem of malaria vectors shifting from their traditional locations to invade new zones is of important concern. A mathematical model incorporating rainfall and temperature is constructed to study the transmission dynamics of malaria. The reproduction number obtained is applied to gridded temperature and rainfall datasets for baseline climate and future climate with aid of GIS. As a result of climate change, malaria burden is likely to increase in the tropics,the highland regions, and East Africa and along the northern limit of falciparum malaria. Falciparum malaria will spread into the African highlands; however it is likely to die out at the southern limit of the disease. |
URI: | https://hdl.handle.net/10646/4027 |
ISSN: | 2090-8075 2044-4362 |
Appears in Collections: | Department of Mathematics Staff Publications |
Files in This Item:
File | Description | Size | Format | |
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Ngarakana_Assessing_the_role_of_climate_change_in_Malaria_transmission_in_Africa.pdf | 4.06 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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